Predictions for the NBA's Final Four

(Note to readers: I forgot to post this when I wrote it.)

I've been away for awhile, so I have the benefit of making predictions with the Lakers and Celtics both up 3-2; go ahead, give me s--t about it. The predictions themselves aren't what's important here, the importance lies in the reasoning.

The unquestionable affirmation of the phrase "home-court advantage" is the No. 1 story in this year's playoffs. Simply put, the road teams just can't find a way to win. Lately everyone seems to be questioning the officiating, saying that the home teams have been the beneficiaries of blatant favoritism, and I don't know, maybe that's true. Conspiracy theorists would point to Game 5 of the Jazz/Lakers series in L.A. and Game 6 of the Hornets/Spurs series in San Antonio as prime examples.

Regardless of the reason for the trend, the fact remains that it would be foolish to bet against the home teams for the remainder of the conference semi-finals. So of course, Im taking the Lakers and Celtics. But that's not saying much, so I think I'll play Devil's advocate and tell you what it would take for the Jazz and Cavs to climb out of their deep, dark 3-2 holes.

First, the Jazz:

Having lost only four games at home all season, few are doubting that the Jazz can take Game 6 in Utah. Yes, the Lakers were one of the teams who managed to steal a victory, but Kobe was much healthier then, and it wasn't a time of desperation for the Jazz. Carlos Boozer has played horribly on the road thus far in the postseason, but he's been just fine at home. If he plays up to his ability or above, Utah should hold serve.

Keep an eye on shot selection, though -- particularly in regards to Mehmet Okur, Matt Harpring and Kyle Korver. Those three have tended to force tough shots at crucial junctures throughout the postseason. "Heat checks" are understandable, but if there's no rhythm, or the shot simply isn't there, they need to give up the rock.

(Never finished)